SINO -INDIAN TECHNOLOGY EQUATION
LT
COL MANOJ K CHANNAN, VETERAN
The world is witnessing a dynamic and fluid
environment ever since the Wuhan Virus broke out in December 2019, the power
struggle between the US and China are well documented and off late the Russian
stand on Ukraine and its relationships with its immediate neighbour China and as
India’s neighbour Pakistan reaching out to Ukraine as well as reach out to
Russia, to support it in the UN.
Closer to home the Chinese intrusions have been
stalled by a strong response by the Indian Defence Forces and the Indian Army
in particular which not only negated and gave a strong response along the line
of actual control, including Galwan. The occupation of the Kailash Range put
the PLA at a major disadvantage and exposed Moldo Garrison which came under
direct line of sight and thus exposing the vulnerabilities of the PLA.
If one is to sit back and think that this gives
India an edge, which will vary in areas of eye-to-eye contact.
Large scale conventional operations
capability as well as capacity building stagnated under the mindset, of Counter
Insurgency/ Counter Terror operations. The PLA intrusions as in 1962 have
jolted the political, military and bureaucracy leadership out of its deep
slumber.
Some tenets that need to be visited are being listed
below for India to consider.
Commerce
Since the intrusions began by the PLA, India did
take some cosmetic actions of banning Chinese mobile apps, however, Indian
Manufacturing is highly dependent on the raw materials. Chinese companies have
been delaying the supply chain and have changed the terms and conditions of the
supply with imposed delays as well as a financial cost of hundred percent
upfront.
Cyber Warfare/Security
China has a three-decade lead over India in its capabilities
in offensive and defensive capacities to cause mayhem. The power breakdown at
Mumbai was identified by US sources as a China based cyber-attack, though own
CERT agency denied it as a breakdown under natural circumstances.
This morning Jawaharlal Nehru Port
Container Terminal (JNPCT) is not
accepting vessels alongside due to outage of the system. A suspected
cyber-attack of the management information system (MIS) has crippled the
container terminal run by the state-owned port authority at Jawaharlal Nehru
Port from Monday, forcing the Jawaharlal Nehru Container Terminal (JNPCT) to
divert one container ship to other terminals at the port located near Mumbai.
5G Technology
The Chinese are actively deploying 5G technology
along the Iine of actual control. India is still to roll out 5G technology and has
limited capability in terms of a test laboratory which is only available at IIT
Chennai.
Big Data
Big Data is defined simply as large and voluminous
complex data sets, arriving from new data sources that traditional data
processing software cannot manage. In counter terrorism context, big data
refers to the enormous amount of unstructured, unfiltered and raw data that law
enforcement and intelligence agencies require to mine for information to
prevent future attacks.
Artificial Intelligence and Machine
Learning
The buzz words of Artificial Intelligence and
Machine Learning are often heard at Seminars and talks delivered by Military
leaders, it is still a long way to go, as technology adaptation has been
delayed, as the focus has been on Counter Insurgency / Counter Terror
operations that the Indian Army has been engaged in since October 1987, till
date.
Hypersonic Technology Demonstrator
Vehicle
An India-Russia joint venture, the BrahMos is considered the world’s
fastest supersonic cruise missile, which can fly at a speed of Mach 3, or three
times the speed of sound. India has inducted this weapon for use on
tri-services platforms.
Like the rest of the superpowers, India too has now joined the race to
develop hypersonic weapons. The country has developed a hypersonic technology
demonstrator vehicle (HSTDV) and tested a Mach 6 scramjet in June 2019 and in
September 2020.
The
HSTDV had been developed by India’s Defence Research and Developmental
Organisation (DRDO). According to experts, this test-firing was related to the
making of the BrahMos II hypersonic missile. This new missile is likely to
complement the Indian Navy’s existing BrahMos anti-ship missile.
Hypersonic
Cruise Missiles
·
3M22 Zircon – Hypersonic anti-ship cruise missile by Russia.
·
14-X – hypersonic glide vehicle mounted on a VSB-30 rocket by Brazil.
·
BrahMos-II – Hypersonic missile by India and Russia.
·
Hypersonic Technology Demonstrator Vehicle – Hypersonic scramjet demonstration
by India.
·
High-Speed Strike Weapon – Boeing X-51 based missile by the United
States.
·
Kh-90 – Hypersonic air-to-surface cruise missile. Developed in 1990 by
the Soviet Union/ Russia.
·
DF-ZF – DF-17 mounted hypersonic glide vehicle by China.
Swarm Drone Capabilities
NewSpace Research & Technologies, which has won
at least two contracts from the defence ministry in the last year, specialises
in swarm drone systems and is working on an ambitious project with Hindustan
Aeronautics Limited (HAL) to develop a cutting-edge pseudo satellite for
surveillance and communications.
In
September last year, the Army had placed a Rs 200 crore order on the company to
deliver a swarm drone system that will be capable of surveillance and attack
missions. Processed under the emergency purchases route, the system has to be
delivered by the manufacturer within a year.
Loitering Precision Guided
Munitions
General Atomics USA has been in negotiations with
the Government of India, the supply of these highly versatile drones for
precision targeting of hostile elements. Under the current Make in India
initiative, it is pertinent that the Government of India engage with SMSEs and
support them after due diligence on their core competencies.
Conventional Arms Capabilities
The PLA with its larger industrial capabilities and
surplus funds available has been able to plan and match its growth over the
past few decades. India has been caught in its Gun vs Butter debate, lack of
political will and vision and as on date lack of recruitment as the basic boots
on ground, highly negate the military capability. Election rhetoric and lack of
statesman leadership with weak leadership at all levels do not indicate any
resolutions in the near future.
To sum up, it is never too late; all it takes is a
planned approach and correct goal and expectation setting. Technology is ever
evolving and the biggest challenges are the political and bureaucracy with
endless trip wires of red tapeism, budget allocation and announcements for
supporting indigenous development get lost out on lack of domain knowledge,
lack of decision making, followed by re-appropriation of the budgets which meet
political expediency are the root cause of being for ever static, best
described by Newton's first
law of motion which states that an object in motion tends to stay in motion
unless an external force acts upon it. Similarly, if the object is at rest, it
will remain at rest unless an unbalanced force act upon it. Newton's First Law
of Motion is also known as the Law of Inertia.
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